Assessing the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical COVID-19 intervention measures in schools
Graz University of Technology | Complexity Science Hub Vienna
Jana Lasser | jana.lasser@tugraz.at | @janalasser
Slides available at:
(1) Can outbreaks be controlled with non-pharmaceutical measures?
(2) What measures work best?
(3) How many measures are necessary?
Interaction | Duration | Proximity | Type |
---|---|---|---|
household | very long | very close | household |
table neighbours | long | close | K1 |
teachers, long meeting | long | close | K1 |
teaching, supervision | long | close | K1 |
classmates, daycare mates | long | far | K2 |
teachers, short meeting | short | close | K2 |
(1) Measure combinations can prevent frequent large outbreaks.
(2) Testing and ventilation are sufficient to contain (most) outbreaks.
(3) Risk in primary schools is lower, mainly due to organisational aspects.
(4) Results are highly sensitive to bad measure implementation and more infectious variants.
Publication preprint:
https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.04.13.21255320
Simulation package "small comunity SEIRX" (Python):
https://pypi.org/project/scseirx
Application to schools: https://github.com/JanaLasser/school_SEIRX
Application to nursing homes: https://github.com/JanaLasser/nursing_home_SEIRX
slides:
https://janalasser.at/talks/school_covid_talk_conference/